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Intercom: A number should start a conversation.

Reach, impact, confidence and effort make assumptions visible. Move one input and watch the preferred option change.

See the idea in one picture ↓
the RICE score
R × I × C ÷ E
estimated per idea
4 inputs
can still override
Judgement

Figures as reported by the company.

Independent educational analysis. Scenarios, people, numbers and illustrations on this page are original PMcademy practice material, not company research results or an endorsement.

The person

Different roles see different parts of the burden.

TThe roadmap roomSupport, engineering and sales
The moment

“Everyone has evidence. Nobody has the same evidence.”

Needs
  • A shared way to compare
  • Room for strategic bets
Blocked by
  • Precise-looking guesses
  • Dependencies a score ignores
Go deeper · LessonWhich one is worth a quarter?
Read the analysis

A support lead notices repeated tickets, an engineer sees implementation risk, and a salesperson remembers a lost deal. Give each person a way to contribute evidence without pretending the observations are interchangeable. Ask which population the reach estimate describes, which outcome impact changes, and what effort includes. Shared definitions matter more than an attractive spreadsheet.

The tension

A confident pitch can outrun weak evidence.

Before

The loudest pitch wins

After

Assumptions are visible and comparable

Read the analysis

Imagine two roadmap proposals. One has a vivid customer story; the other affects a larger group but sounds less exciting. A shared scoring method can expose the assumptions behind the pitches. It becomes less useful if the team treats a precise-looking number as an objective truth or adjusts inputs until a favourite proposal wins.

The idea in one picture

What RICE does, and what it leaves to you

Score = (Reach × Impact × Confidence) ÷ EffortReachImpactConfidenceEffortScore123Bulk edit800280%4320Dark mode5001100%2250Search indexBulk edit needs this first300150%1150Build order: Search index, then Bulk edit, then Dark mode (illustrative)
  1. 1Fill in four inputs

    Estimate reach, impact, confidence and effort for each idea.

  2. 2Compare the scores

    The formula turns those guesses into one comparable number.

  3. 3Apply judgement

    A dependency can still move a lower score to the front.

Animated illustration. Names, numbers and people are fictional teaching material.

The mechanism

Turn the uncertain dial.

Change one thing · Practice model
AB
A: 80 · B: 64 · A ranks higher

Illustrative data and simplified behaviour. This model does not represent a live company system or measured company results.

Go deeper · LessonBetting the quarter
Read the analysis

Use the confidence control below. Option A reaches 100 people, has impact 2 and takes two person-months. Option B reaches 160, has impact 1, confidence 80 percent and the same effort. Both use the same reach period. As A’s confidence changes, the ordering can reverse. These are fictional inputs used to expose sensitivity, not recommended scores for a real roadmap.

The evidence

Investigate the input that changes the decision.

  • What Intercom says

    Intercom defines RICE and allows dependencies to justify work outside score order.

  • What it cannot prove

    That higher-scoring ideas deliver more value in practice.

  • What you would measure

    Estimates against actual results

  • How often order is overridden, and why

  • Confidence scores over time

Go deeper · LessonNumbers without a data team
Read the analysis

If a small confidence change reverses the order, a short discovery task may be valuable. If the ranking stays stable across plausible inputs, another week refining decimals may not help. Ask the owners of the estimates for source links and uncertainty ranges. Revisit effort after technical exploration and include coordination, rollout and support where those costs matter.

The trade-off

Measurable work can crowd out necessary work.

  • Visible assumptions
  • Fairer comparisons
  • Faster debates
  • False precision
  • Enablers undervalued
  • Scores gamed to fit
Read the analysis

A scoring framework can understate enabling infrastructure, mandatory fixes, or a dependency that unlocks another project. Keep these reasons explicit rather than distorting reach or effort to make them fit. A separate strategic rationale is easier to review than an inflated score. Also record the opportunity cost: which plausible work waits if you choose this proposal?

Your decision

Would you build, investigate, or override?

Your fictional team has one week before planning. You can accept the current ranking, gather evidence for the most sensitive assumption, or prioritise a dependency with an explicit rationale. Choose the action that makes the decision more defensible. Explain what evidence would change your mind and avoid using the framework as a way to end a legitimate disagreement.

Choose a next move

Make it yours

Build a scorecard with an audit trail.

Your artifact

Build a three-option RICE scorecard with ranges, sources, dependencies and a written recommendation.

Prompt worth stealing

Critique my project artifact using only the evidence I provide. Build a three-option RICE scorecard with ranges, sources, dependencies and a written recommendation. Separate observed facts, assumptions, proposed tests and missing evidence. Identify a failure mode and a cheap check. Do not invent company results or user research. Ask for my artifact before starting.

Read the analysis

Compare three project opportunities using consistent reach periods and effort units. Attach a source, confidence rationale and plausible range to each uncertain input. Add dependencies and strategic exceptions in a separate column. Finish with a decision statement and a review date so the scorecard can evolve as you learn.

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